I don't see Rudy running in 2008, which would be a shame, actually. New York Republicans tend to be moderate, remnants of the Rockefeller Republican wing of the party. Socially liberal, fiscally conservative, but not wary of government intervention for market failures (health care, education, etc.), andsupportive of a very strong defensive military. Traditional Rockefeller Republicans today would probably be considered followers of "the third way," a movement that has been embraced by some Democrats. From the New Democrats Online Web site:
Originally posted by michaelskis
I could see myself supporting a real Rockefeler Republican in the White House.
The Third Way philosophy seeks to adapt enduring progressive values to the new challenges of he information age. It rests on three cornerstones: the idea that government should promote equal opportunity for all while granting special privilege for none; an ethic of mutual responsibility that equally rejects the politics of entitlement and the politics of social abandonment; and, a new approach to governing that empowers citizens to act for themselves.
The Third Way approach to economic opportunity and security stresses technological innovation, competitive enterprise, and education rather than top- down redistribution or laissez faire. On questions of values, it embraces "tolerant traditionalism," honoring traditional moral and family values while resisting attempts to impose them on others. It favors an enabling rather than a bureaucratic government, expanding choices for citizens, using market means to achieve public ends and encouraging civic and community institutions to play a larger role in public life. The Third Way works to build inclusive, multiethnic societies based on common allegiance to democratic values.
Anyhow, enough of that. Here's my predictions:
Kerry wins: as long as the House and Senate remain in Republican hands, he won't be very effective. (At least he can't run roughshod like Bush, though; checks and balances, after all.). Bill Frist wins the 2008 Republican Primary. Faced with two mediocre choices in the election, voters choose to remain with Kerry; the economy is slowly improving, and the US is slowly repairing its reputation in global relations.
Bush wins: the victory is seen as a "mandate of the people" for endosement of his policies, and we'll see more of the same; attacks on civil liberties, blurring of boundaries between church and state, scapegmeoating gays, erosion of labor, environmental and consumer protection regulations, and as a worst case scenario: invasion of Iran. The left gets increasingly angrier and more vocal, and there could be a social backlash: think late 1960s. In the 2008 presidential election, Bill Frist or John McCain run against Barak Obama, who would soundly defeated Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primaries; she went down in the Midwest. Obama cleans up, outside of the South, the Dakotas, and the northern Rocky Mountain region.