What is interesting is the panic. Back in 2009 we had 60 million infected and 275,00 hospitalized with 12.5 thousand that died in the U.S. No widespread news headlines every day and no hoarding of supplies. We dealt with it the best we could. I was infected and hospitalized - and I survived. Just be diligent.I'm curious as well.
The stuff that I've seen shows the coronavirus is infecting a lot of people and spreading relatively quickly but it isn't as severe or as deadly as the annual influenza strain. The worst case scenario models I've seen show that it could infect hundreds of thousands or even close to a million but have a lower mortality rate, especially when compared to what damage other, more familiar, viruses might do if they infected a similar number of people in a season. Coronavirus is noteworthy for the speed at which it spreads, it's "newness", and the fact that they haven't really pinpointed down exactly how it spreads (or, conversely, ruled out ways it doesn't spread). It's not it's mortality rate that is making it noteworthy.
Now if it does indeed spread to a million people, it could definitely have devastating economic effects even if not many are dying, especially if there are significant pockets of infection in large industrial or commercial centers. There have been no reported cases here in Michigan but there is already talk of auto manufacturers slowing down production or shutting down lines as factories in China are facing the possibility of shutting down while the infection scare passes. Then there is the economic cost associated with the time and money it takes to disinfect everything before factories and tech centers open back up. If this worsens and drags on through the rest of the quarter, I would expect the next automotive production forecasts to be revised slightly downward from what they were projecting earlier. The same scenario is likely playing out in other industries as well.
I saw this and had to look it up - here's what I foundWhat is interesting is the panic. Back in 2009 we had 60 million infected and 275,00 died in the U.S. No widespread news headlines every day and no hoarding of supplies. We dealt with it the best we could. I was infected and hospitalized - and I survived. Just be diligent.
So I had an intern doing a housing survey. We tried to get him as much done, and we will try to do the "new" parts of town through google street view and really just trying to accommodate him as much as possible. It just really sucks.Wow...just wow. You really just don't get it, do you? My office alone has 40 some odd kids living paycheck to paycheck (it is SoCal after all) walking transects in remote areas that we're going to have to figure out how to keep going since the gubermint is tell us to shut them down - they can't exactly keep surveying from the comfort of their craptacular apartments. But, hey, feel free to dial in at the end of next week when we lay them all off and tell them it's for their own good.
I'm feeling better after a freaking marathon of a leadership call. A lot of our field work looks to be exempt from the shelter in place orders, and senior leadership is more concerned with keeping everyone safe and healthy than with meeting utilization goals. We're good for a few weeks at least, so I can postpone my binge drinking for now.I know, and I'm not going after you and AG (too much, at least...). Today is probably going to be the most craptacular day of my 24-year professional career (or at least until next Friday) - y'all are just catching the fallout.
A woman at the store crowded me, too. I was able to turn 90 degrees away from her and the man in front of me.Went to Wegmans about noon. Beef, chicken, pasta, and canned soup are back, but quantities are limited. Still no naan or hand sanitizer. We're good with toilet paper, so we didn't look.
I think we need to educate Boomers more about physical distancing.
When I went to Aldi, an older woman got in line maybe a foot or two behind me. I was really uncomfortable, and tried to get away, but she kept gettng closer, as if she thought the line was moving. And she had the goddamn sniffles. However, I had to keep distance from the man in front of me.
Maybe three or four times when I was at the co-op, crunchy Boomers were blocking the aisles just chatting it up like it was 2019, and they wouldn't move over when I approached. The aisles at the co-op are already narrow enough.
I think that is one of the weird things to go from 100 to 0 so fast. There is still a lot of money out there, and some business sectors have a lot of liquidity. Restaurants are going to go under. JC Penney's and some of the other on the edge retails may go out... but there are going to be winners once this is over, and it seems like there could be a HUGE bump to the economy once this is over. It is something that our world has never seen before to shut down globally so quickly.I handle a lot of zoning due diligence for lenders and attorneys. We are incredibly busy right now. It's like all these companies are scrambling to buy buy buy or refi with the rates at historic lows.
We've all been working at home, but this scare seems to have resulted in an uptick in commercial real estate buying/refi.
Are the affluent areas being hit hardest or is it just that people in those areas have better access to testing than folks in other communities?Interactive Buffalo, NY COVID-19 map:
EDIT 3-23: Seems like there's a pattern of the more affluent areas getting hit the hardest. Buffalo city proper and the Northtowns, followed by the well-off second ring suburbs. The blue collar inner ring suburbs, and the third ring suburbs, are the least affected,
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I would say that wealthier communities might get hit harder because they travel more, and are more "connected" with a larger world. Less affluent communities may be less connected and more insular, and there's less exposure to "outsiders" that could start community spread.Are the affluent areas being hit hardest or is it just that people in those areas have better access to testing than folks in other communities?
Here's a good resource. It looks like they use press releases and news articles to document cases.I can absolutely get behind this whole "social distancing" thing. How do we make this a permanent policy? Perhaps also do away with handshakes too?
For the first time, my standard weekend of stay at home, drink beer, and play video games (BTW, Doom Eternal is awesome) wasn't seen as some weird thing, it was seen as the RIGHT thing to do. It's glorious.
The state is asking for health care volunteers. I received the letter yesterday because I fall under the clinical assistance category (physicians, advanced car providers, nurses, and EMS). I'm not entirely sure what happens if I sign up to volunteer and get sent somewhere else in the state and can't report to work. I assume I have some sort of immunity to standard employment laws in this situation.
EDIT* Forgot to mention, our county had its first confirmed case over the weekend. The state website is really far behind on updates, which is frustrating.
We've been running ours nearly everyday for the past week. It's crazy how many dishes we go through on a normal day, especially glasses and cups!With Mrs. Bubba and I both working from home, and not being able to dine out for three or four meals per week, we're having to get off schedule with the dishwasher and run it more often. #firstworldproblems
No extensive use of plates and silverware in my house as we've been on paper plates since late December when we discovered a leak behind the sink cabinet from the waste pipe.I am amazed at how much my kids can completely destroy my house in a few hours. I mean I have seen this destruction over the weekend, but this is a new level. Also, when my kids are home they seem to just use a new cup and silverware for everything they do. I found a spoon in the bathroom yesterday. It was because my son was mixing his chocolate milk while washing his hands. Not sure if I was mad or proud that he was getting the hand washing thing...